Welcome back tennis DFS fans! It’s Day two of this week’s WTA and ATP tour tournaments, and with that comes a massive slate. We are only a few weeks away from Wimbledon, and the players are trying to get a good test on grass before the next major tournament. The second slate of the week has 20 matches with both men and women in action.
The players listed below can be used in any contest, whether it’s for cash or GPP. I personally like to use the same lineup in both, since the goal is to pick players who are going to win their match. If you choose to go down the route of playing the “stars and scrubs” strategy, you might be forced to choose players who are bound to get crushed. This strategy is risky as upsets happen quite often in tennis, and if one of your most expensive players gets beat you have a very low chance to cash. Let’s get into my top 3 plays for the slate!
Note: Tennis is available on DraftKings ONLY. This slate is best of three set scoring for all players.
Roger Federer $10,800
The grass court maestro is back in action, as Roger Federer looks to capture another title in his prolific career. The world number three is 54-12 over the last year with an 8-2 record on the grass. He was on his way to another Wimbledon title last season before he blew a 2-0 set lead for only the third time in his career, losing to Kevin Anderson in the quarterfinals. That loss has to be a motivation boost for Fed, and I’m sure he’ll make it back to the finals if he can play at his best. His first match in Halle is against John Millman, the world number 55 from Australia.
Seeing Millman’s name on the draw probably gives Federer some more confidence, as Millman is the only player ranked outside of the top 15 to beat Federer over the last 12 months. Millman completely shocked the world by taking down Roger at the US Open in four sets. However, this match favors Federer by quite a large margin. Federer won almost 90% of all first serve points on grass last season, and he didn’t get his serve broken once until the third set against Anderson. Federer loves the grass, and I can see this being a blowout which might be worth paying up for.
Milos Raonic $10,100
Milos Raonic was forced to withdraw from his last tournament due to a back injury, but I’m sure it was just for precautionary reasons. The big serving Canadian is arguably the best grass court player outside of the big three, and he is bound to make some noise over the next few weeks. Last week in Stuttgart, Raonic won 89% of all first serve points while firing down aces at a 25% rate. He got his serve broken once in his first match, but after that it was smooth sailing.
He’ll face off against Marco Cecchinato, the world number 40 from Italy. Cecchinato has a brutal clay court season for his standards to say the least, posting a 6-6 record on the surface that he thrives on. He was 2-2 last season on grass, but he didn’t play anyone quite like Raonic. Cecchinato had his serve broken 10 times in those four matches, and one break of serve against Milos will lead to a quick loss. Raonic should have no issue winning in two sets, while unloading on the ace count.
Juan Martin Del Potro $8,800
Juan Martin Del Potro, aka the Tower of Tandil, is looking to have another successful grass court season. The big hitting Argentinian is one of the most dangerous players on tour, and the conditions of the grass courts help his playstyle even more. He had a 4-1 record on grass last season, losing to Rafael Nadal in a five set thriller in the quarterfinals of Wimbledon. During those five matches, he fired down aces at a 21% rate and won 84% of first serve points. What stands out most is his forehand, which players do their best to avoid as it is an absolute cannon.
His first match is against Denis Shapovalov, the world number 25. Shapovalov has been wildly inconsistent over the last few months, posting a 2-8 record since late March. He hasn’t served aces at a 10% rate or better in a match since March 4th, and getting his serve broken multiple times is almost a guarantee at this point. He is 0-1 so far on grass this season, and if Del Potro plays anywhere near his best, Shapovalov won’t stand a chance. I think Del Potro will out hit him in every aspect of the game while winning in straight sets.
Possible upset/value play: Felix Auger Aliassime $6,900
Felix Auger Aliassime has taken the tennis world by surprise over the last few months, as the young 18 year old Canadian is beating big name players left and right. Once the big three have retired, I think Felix will be the next big name in tennis. His game has developed extensively since the start of the season, and he looks so comfortable moving on the court. Last week in Stuttgart, he made a run to the finals but fell just short to Matteo Berrettini in two tight sets. Over his last three matches, Felix served aces at a 23% rate while getting his serve broken twice.
His first match in London is against Grigor Dimitrov, the the world number 45 from Bulgaria. Dimitrov has plummeted down the ATP ranks, as he was previously ranked number 3 at the beginning of 2018. He has been extremely inconsistent, posting a 19-17 record over the last 12 months with a 1-2 record on grass. In those three matches, he won 75% of first serve points and got his serve broken eight times. Due to the current form of Auger Aliassime and the erratic ways of Dimitrov, I think Felix will add another impressive win to his resume.
Best of luck!